One hour before midnight in Berkeley, California

It is 11pm. You’re running around Lighthaven in search of a post.

You just finished another game of Blood on the Clocktower. It was fine. You promised to be honest and attempted to glomarize a bunch on whether you’re the Soldier or an evil player for it to not be disadvantageous to the version of you that got an evil role, but forgot you’re doing this and so just said true things a bunch. (Didn’t say any falsehoods though.)

By midnight, you need to have a post out. You have one hour left.

You have some drafts. One is a huge, 3000 word long post about Anthropic and the promises and commitments they violated and the lies they publicly said. An early and pretty bad version of it leaked on Anthropic’s Slack, so you’re not quite sure how much attention people will pay to the much more informative version. You want it to be powerful and make people at Anthropic actually think about the evidence that they have and maybe leave (or pressure the leadership to do a different thing).

Others are not as good, and you wouldn’t immediately know how to turn them into a huge post.

You’re considering writing about how prediction markets could be used in social deduction games, like the one you just played: you came up with an idea, and want to communicate it. But that would probably take way too long.

You’re not panicking, though you know some might in a similar situation: worst case, you’d have to publish a bad post at 23:59. It’s fine.

You’re still not quite sure what you should be optimizing for, here.

The main idea is simply to write. Someone expressed the idea that they’ve never seen someone publish a lot for a day every month and this never going anywhere. So the main goal is simply to write, every day, gaining the XP points. It’s fine if the writing is not that good; you write! That’s very valuable and helpful on its own!

But also you do want to make powerful, awesome, impactful posts! You dislike writing something in the last moment just to get it out; this is not as cool as writing what’s important and making it well-edited and amazing.

You’re still okay with doing that. Yesterday, an attempt at that turned into a fairly good sci-fi post. You got helpful feedback on it afterwards; but also, hundreds of people liked it on Twitter and a former CEO on Reddit added it to a thread that was previously liked thousands times (your worldbuilding was apparently good enough). Even though it was simply a joke you came up on a spot a while ago, it turned into a pretty good little silly post.

Today is different. You don’t have anything prepared. No jokes you started to write down and can refine and publish. Only the sound of some side winning in the game of the Blood on the Clocktower, which you left a bit early after using your dead vote to write the post. You did make a prediction; you do hope your side won, and hope you were helpful to your team despite some constraints.

You have a list of post ideas. It’s not too large; you’ve seen others having hundreds of posts they want to write. You have maybe 20, and some are too much work to finish in a day, much so in an hour, and others are not good or don’t look attractive right now.

Someone helpfully tells you that your side lost, but you got all of your predictions right, and evil people consistently registered as evil to your intuition.

You’re still not sure having done circling is not cheating in these games.

It’s 11pm. What do you write about?